Zdravo zdravo, Chajo
![:112:](http://195.66.163.23/forumi/Smileys/smajlici1/112.gif)
"A LVL2 was issued over the Adriatic and Ionian Sea and the western Balkan coastal regions for severe wind gusts, excessive rainfall, large hail, and tornadoes.";
Izdvojen dio o nama i ponesto u boji, kome nije dosadno da prevodi :
SYNOPSIS
A complex synoptic scenario will be unfolding over Europe on Monday. An upper trough analyzed over central Europe on Sunday evening will continue to move eastward while capturing a downstream vort max that was analyzed over the south-central Mediterranean/S Ionian Sea on Sunday evening. At the same time, a very powerful Atlantic jet streak at the flank of a seasonably intense SFC low, digs southwestwards, reaching the western Mediterranean by Monday afternoon and the western Balkan States by early Monday morning. By that time ... an intense and deep large-scale trough will have evolved, covering the entirety of Europe. The low-level evolution features a Genoa cyclone that is in its genesis as of Sunday evening, and which will be moving off to the northeast on Monday. Another Genoa-type low is expected to develop late on Monday with the approach of the jet streak. The center of the main Atlantic SFC low will migrate into the Channel region towards the end of the period. Altogether, this will result in an
extensive SFC low with the two peripheral Genoa-type lows at ist eastern flank.DISCUSSION
Italy ... Ionian and Adriatic Sea ... western Balkans
There will be manifold convective foci associated with each of the features mentioned in the synopsis. The best thermodynamic profiles will likely persist ahead of the lead trough, where up to
1000 J/kg MLCAPE should persist. In addition, low-level shear of 10 to 15 m/s will be omnipresent on Monday, courtesy of the large-scale SFC low. Deep shear is simulated to range from 15 to 20 m/s. Expect potentially severe storms to persist along and ahead of the low-level thermal boundary associated with the upper trough. Severe straight-line winds should be the main threat, though especially with mesocyclonic storms, large hail and tornadoes are also likely.
Especially the west coast of the Balkans will likely experience excessive amounts of partly convective precip. This latter threat seems to be rather detached from the synoptic-scale forcing and seems to be maintained mainly by upslope flow."